The Wrong (and Right) Way to Think About Stock Market Returns 🧙‍♂️


Hello! Jesse Cramer here.

Thank you for reading The Best Interest blog,

And listening to my podcast, Personal Finance for Long-Term Investors.


From the blog...

The basic investor might say:

  • Stocks return 10% per year.
  • Bonds return 5% per year.
  • Cash returns 3% per year.

This framework is flawed for so many reasons. Stocks are too volatile to make 1-year predictions or averages. Such a short-term view overlooks the concept of compounding.

When we think in real, inflation-adjusted, after-tax returns over decades, we conclude that over a reasonable 30-year period:

  • Stocks compound our real wealth by 300 – 400%
  • Bonds compound our real wealth by ~0%
  • And cash loses 25% – 50% of our real wealth

Yes - bonds are a zero. Cash is negative.

These numbers might surprise or shock you.

Read more below:

🔗 Stocks for Wealth, Bonds for Sanity 🔗

On the podcast...

Every long-term investor can learn from Warren Buffett.

In this episode, I took my eight favorite Warren Buffett areas of expertise and provided a deep dive explanation on why they're smart and what people like us can learn from them.

Please give it a listen!

🎧 - Buffett’s Blueprint - 8 Examples of Warren’s Timeless Wisdom

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Buffett’s Blueprint - 8 Exam...
Jul 2 · Personal Finance for Lon...
44:08
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Something to Ponder...

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Work with Jesse?

By night, I run The Best Interest and Personal Finance for Long-Term Investors.

By day, I work for a fiduciary wealth management firm in Rochester, NY.

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In Closing

Thank you, as always, for reading, listening, and getting in touch. The project continues because the audience (that's you) is amazing.

People like you send me questions every single day.

I’d love to hear from you.

Go ahead! Send an email or ask me question: ​jesse@bestinterest.blog​

Until next week,

Jesse

Jesse Cramer

My mission is to help you feel smarter about your money and retirement, with clarity and confidence. My work helps busy professionals and retirees avoid costly mistakes and grow lasting wealth to and through retirement. I write *The Best Interest* blog, produce *Personal Finance for Long-Term Investors* podcast, and write this free weekly newsletter. Please - subscribe and learn!

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